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... % success chance.

So what is the probability of that 10% chance succeeding twice in a row?

—You’re telling me he hit a 1%?

With just two attempts, the probability drops to 1%.

What about three times?

0.1%. Four, five times.

With each additional success, the probability plummets exponentially.

0.01%, 0.001%, 0.0001%.

It might sound simple when you just tack on another zero each time, but if you rephrase it as “one in ten,” “one in a ...

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